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Abstract:
This report, based largely on the 2014-15
national survey in Rwanda, focuses on changes
and trends in reproductive behavior since
2010. In the 4-5 years after the 2010 survey,
fertility continued its decline to 4.2 births
per woman as contraceptive prevalence
increased slightly.
However, the earlier downward trend in number
of children desired appears stalled. This is
clearly evident from an increase in the
proportions of married women and men who say
they want more children. Child mortality has
significantly declined and remains strongly
related to fertility; while
age at marriage has continued to increase.
The demographic goals specified in the 1998-
99 plan for development, Rwanda Vision 2020,
appear on track, but the annual rate of
population growth remains high, currently
2.5%, because fertility is high. Furthermore,
large numbers of young people are now
entering their child-bearing years. Although
most trends seem encouraging, especially
compared with other countries in sub-Saharan
Africa, significant population growth is
expected in Rwanda, from 12 to 16 million
people by 2030, and to 22 million people by
midcentury, even with assumed reductions of
fertility.